SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 35.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
40.7% ( -0.15) | 23.58% ( -0.02) | 35.71% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 62.85% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.01% ( 0.12) | 38.99% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.69% ( 0.12) | 61.31% ( -0.12) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.49% ( -0.02) | 19.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.61% ( -0.03) | 51.39% ( 0.02) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 0.14) | 21.91% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% ( 0.21) | 55.17% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.71% |
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