SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 62.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Turkmenistan had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Turkmenistan win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hong Kong | Draw | Turkmenistan |
62.9% ( -0) | 20.8% ( 0) | 16.3% |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.92% ( -0.01) | 44.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.54% ( -0.01) | 66.46% ( 0.01) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.6% ( -0) | 13.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.68% ( -0) | 40.32% ( 0.01) |
| Turkmenistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.84% ( -0) | 40.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.2% ( -0) | 76.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hong Kong | Draw | Turkmenistan |
| 2-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.34% Other @ 3% Total : 62.89% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.8% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.5% 0-2 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.38% 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.3% |
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