Norwich's inconsistency is a concern for Wagner, yet still makes them a threat against a Hull side that has lost its way. Nevertheless, we feel that the Tigers will do enough to earn this contest, potentially with a late goal at the MKM Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.