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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Portsmouth |
46.37% ( 0.58) | 24.57% ( 0.05) | 29.06% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( -0.54) | 46.05% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( -0.52) | 68.35% ( 0.52) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( 0.02) | 19.95% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.89% ( 0.04) | 52.11% ( -0.04) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( -0.71) | 29.35% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.67% ( -0.88) | 65.33% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.06% |
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