SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
47.64% ( 1.97) | 23.61% ( -0.24) | 28.74% ( -1.73) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% ( 0.13) | 41.94% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( 0.12) | 64.34% ( -0.12) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.19% ( 0.84) | 17.81% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.46% ( 1.42) | 48.54% ( -1.42) |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -1.09) | 27.48% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.02% ( -1.42) | 62.98% ( 1.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Hull City |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.75% Total : 47.64% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.91% Total : 28.74% |
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