SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 (12.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
37.89% ( -0.59) | 30.25% ( 0.25) | 31.86% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 41.19% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.92% ( -0.68) | 66.08% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.36% ( -0.47) | 84.64% ( 0.47) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.74) | 33.7% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( -0.81) | 70.36% ( 0.81) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% ( -0.12) | 37.87% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.36% ( -0.12) | 74.64% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 13.88% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 13.47% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.45% Total : 30.24% | 0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.69% Total : 31.86% |
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