Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Union |
55.6% (![]() | 26.48% (![]() | 17.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.32% (![]() | 62.67% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.77% (![]() | 82.23% (![]() |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.14% (![]() | 22.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.41% (![]() | 56.59% (![]() |
Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.79% (![]() | 49.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.89% (![]() | 84.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Union |
1-0 @ 16.6% (![]() 2-0 @ 12.25% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.69% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.59% | 1-1 @ 11.77% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 3.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.38% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 7.98% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.92% |
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