SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Union |
55.6% ( 0.05) | 26.48% ( -0.01) | 17.92% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.18% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.32% ( -0.02) | 62.67% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.77% ( -0.01) | 82.23% ( 0.01) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( 0.02) | 22.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.41% ( 0.02) | 56.59% ( -0.02) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.79% ( -0.07) | 49.21% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.89% ( -0.05) | 84.11% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Velez Sarsfield | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 16.6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 55.59% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.24% 2-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.92% |
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