SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for SJK had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | SJK |
40.69% ( 0.05) | 23.97% ( -0.02) | 35.33% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.04% ( 0.11) | 40.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.65% ( 0.11) | 63.35% ( -0.11) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( 0.07) | 20.35% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( 0.11) | 52.75% ( -0.11) |
| SJK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.04) | 23.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( 0.06) | 56.82% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | SJK |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.29% Total : 35.33% |
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