SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 38.87%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 29.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 2-1 (6.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15%), while for an Argentinos Juniors win it was 0-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
38.87% ( 0.28) | 31.68% ( 0.04) | 29.45% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 37.23% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.54% ( -0.16) | 70.46% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.47% ( -0.1) | 87.53% ( 0.11) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.53% ( 0.09) | 35.47% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( 0.09) | 72.23% ( -0.08) |
| Argentinos Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.35) | 42.31% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% ( -0.31) | 78.7% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Argentinos Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 15.55% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 38.87% | 0-0 @ 15% ( 0.09) 1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.68% | 0-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 29.44% |
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