SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 44.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.96%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | San Lorenzo |
44.24% ( -1.27) | 31.68% ( 0.1) | 24.07% ( 1.18) |
| Both teams to score 34.65% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.87% ( 0.3) | 72.13% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.43% ( 0.18) | 88.56% ( -0.18) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.56) | 33.13% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0.62) | 69.73% ( 0.62) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.81% ( 1.38) | 48.18% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.63% ( 0.99) | 83.37% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | San Lorenzo |
| 1-0 @ 17.63% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.41)2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.6% Total : 44.24% | 0-0 @ 15.96% ( -0.18) 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.25% Total : 31.67% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.28% Total : 24.07% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
