SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 41.32%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.25%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
41.32% ( -0.14) | 32.26% ( -0.03) | 26.42% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 34.85% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.38% ( 0.13) | 72.62% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.14% ( 0.08) | 88.86% ( -0.08) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.01) | 35.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.1% ( -0.01) | 71.9% ( 0.01) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.74% ( 0.24) | 46.26% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.08% ( 0.19) | 81.92% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 17% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.32% | 0-0 @ 16.25% ( -0.09) 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 32.24% | 0-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.42% |
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