SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 45.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Independiente |
45.9% ( 0.07) | 27.58% ( 0.03) | 26.52% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45.72% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.71% ( -0.14) | 59.29% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% ( -0.11) | 79.69% ( 0.11) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.18% ( -0.03) | 25.82% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.22% ( -0.04) | 60.78% ( 0.04) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( -0.16) | 38.37% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.88% ( -0.16) | 75.12% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Godoy Cruz | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.9% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.52% |
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