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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Oct 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
AU

Inter Miami
2 - 1
Atlanta

Suarez (2'), Alba (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lobzhanidze (39')
Williams (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 New England
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Atlanta (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 3-1 Atlanta United

Although the Five Stripes have had their share of success against Miami this season, the Herons are loaded with experienced guys who have won at every level and still have the talent to make a long run, so we do not anticipate they will slip up on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 58.87%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 21.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.6%) and 3-1 (7.05%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Miami.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
58.87%20.06%21.07%
Both teams to score 63.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.29%32.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.61%54.39%
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89%11.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.71%35.29%
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89%64.11%
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 58.87%
    Atlanta United 21.07%
    Draw 20.06%
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.58%
2-0 @ 7.6%
3-1 @ 7.05%
1-0 @ 6.89%
3-0 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 3.89%
4-0 @ 3.09%
4-2 @ 2.45%
5-1 @ 1.72%
5-0 @ 1.36%
5-2 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 58.87%
1-1 @ 8.68%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 3.12%
3-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.06%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-1 @ 3.93%
2-3 @ 2.53%
0-2 @ 2.48%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 21.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 New England
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, October 5 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-3 Inter Miami
Thursday, October 3 at 12.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-2 Inter Miami
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Atlanta (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, October 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Montreal
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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