Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
-0.68) 
0.19) 
