Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.03%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
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