SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for United Arab Emirates had a probability of 9.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.49%) and 3-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a United Arab Emirates win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
73.24% ( -0.06) | 17.31% ( 0.08) | 9.44% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.85% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.41) | 45.09% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.39) | 67.43% ( 0.39) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( -0.12) | 10.82% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.12% ( -0.28) | 34.88% ( 0.28) |
| United Arab Emirates Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.05% ( -0.31) | 51.95% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.03% ( -0.21) | 85.97% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | United Arab Emirates |
| 2-0 @ 13.89% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 73.22% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.31% | 0-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.44% |
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