SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
22.86% ( -0.45) | 23.36% ( -0.04) | 53.78% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( -0.29) | 45.83% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.85% ( -0.28) | 68.14% ( 0.28) |
| Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( -0.56) | 34.19% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( -0.6) | 70.88% ( 0.6) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.03% ( 0.07) | 16.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.93% ( 0.12) | 47.07% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbul Basaksehir | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.86% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.77% |
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