SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 52.98%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.94%) and 1-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | Helmond Sport |
52.98% ( -0.7) | 21.45% ( 0.04) | 25.57% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 64.58% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.84% ( 0.44) | 34.16% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.96% ( 0.49) | 56.05% ( -0.49) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.87% ( -0.06) | 13.13% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.21% ( -0.12) | 39.8% ( 0.13) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.71) | 25.65% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( 0.95) | 60.56% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.19)1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.45% | 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.57% |
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