Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	Emmen
29.77% ( 0.04)	22.68% ( 0.01)	47.55% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 63.7% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.15% (

-0.03)

36.84% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.98% (

-0.04)

59.02% (

0.04)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.75% (

0.01)

24.25% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.39% (

0.01)

58.61% (

-0.01)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.1% (

-0.03)

15.9% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.86% (

-0.06)

45.14% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 29.77%

Emmen 47.55%

Draw 22.67%

Jong PSV	Draw	Emmen
2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.77%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.67%	1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 47.55%