SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
25.16% ( -0.25) | 21.7% ( -0.03) | 53.14% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.24% ( -0.08) | 35.76% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.17% ( -0.09) | 57.83% ( 0.1) |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.23) | 26.8% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( -0.3) | 62.09% ( 0.3) |
| Roda JC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.36% ( 0.06) | 13.64% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.19% ( 0.12) | 40.81% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | Roda JC |
| 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.16% | 1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.7% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.34% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 53.14% |
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