SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
41.94% ( -0.06) | 25.85% ( -0.02) | 32.22% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( 0.11) | 50.23% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( 0.09) | 72.18% ( -0.1) |
| Jubilo Iwata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( 0.02) | 23.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.1% ( 0.02) | 57.9% ( -0.02) |
| Albirex Niigata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0.11) | 29.31% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.72% ( 0.13) | 65.28% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Albirex Niigata |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.22% |
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