Off the back of a hard-fought win over Sao Paulo, Atletico Mineiro will head into Tuesday's game with confidence as they look to extend their dominance over Juventude. However, Machado's men have been near impenetrable at home this season and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-2.09) 
2.87) 
