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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest FC Pyunik win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | FC Pyunik |
42.11% ( 0.2) | 26.39% ( -0.03) | 31.49% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0.07) | 52.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( 0.06) | 74.33% ( -0.06) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( 0.13) | 24.76% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( 0.19) | 59.32% ( -0.19) |
| FC Pyunik Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.08) | 31.03% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( -0.09) | 67.34% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | FC Pyunik |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.11% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 31.49% |
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