J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 11am UK
SANKYO FRONTIER Kashiwa Stadium
We said: Kashiwa Reysol 1-3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Considering that Reysol have struggled for form recently and have lost their last three league fixtures, it is fair to say they could struggle on Saturday.
Although opponents Hiroshima did lose last time out, they have still scored 15 goals in their last five league games and could prove to be too strong for their hosts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
| Result |
| Kashiwa Reysol | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
30.04% ( 3.76) | 26.51% ( 0.26) | 43.46% ( -4.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 1.65) |
| 46.32% ( 0.97) | 53.68% ( -0.97) |
| 24.83% ( 0.81) | 75.17% ( -0.81) |
| 67.43% ( 3.46) | 32.57% ( -3.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.89% ( 3.7) | 69.11% ( -3.7) |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals |
| 75.48% ( -1.5) | 24.52% ( 1.5) |
