SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 23.62% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
53.37% ( 7.08) | 23.01% ( -1.42) | 23.62% ( -5.66) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( 1.84) | 43.48% ( -1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 1.79) | 65.87% ( -1.79) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( 3.42) | 16.26% ( -3.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.2% ( 5.88) | 45.8% ( -5.89) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( -3.39) | 32.22% ( 3.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( -4.02) | 68.71% ( 4.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 1.15)3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.88)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 1.17)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.64)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.73)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.25)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.31)Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.37% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.7) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -1.03) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -1.13)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -1.03)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.65)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.55)Other @ 2.55% Total : 23.62% |
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