Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 20.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.

Result
Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Sochi
55.15%	24.23%	20.61% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.91% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.06% (

51.94% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.31% (

73.68% (

-0)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27% (

18.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.91% (

50.09% (

-0)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.17% (

39.82% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.51% (

76.49% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Krylia Sovetov 55.15%

Sochi 20.61%

Draw 24.23%

Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 5.85% 3-1 @ 5.38% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.15%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.36% 0-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.34% Total : 20.61%