SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Sochi had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Sochi win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
62.26% ( -0.53) | 21.4% ( 0.29) | 16.34% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.43% ( -0.85) | 46.56% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.16% ( -0.81) | 68.84% ( 0.8) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.61% ( -0.44) | 14.38% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.72% ( -0.85) | 42.27% ( 0.85) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( -0.22) | 41.6% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( -0.19) | 78.09% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 62.26% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.91% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.34% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
