SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
57.5% ( 0.03) | 22.43% ( -0.01) | 20.07% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.79% ( 0.03) | 45.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.45% ( 0.04) | 67.55% ( -0.03) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( 0.02) | 15.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( 0.04) | 44.33% ( -0.04) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( 0) | 36.53% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.68% ( 0.01) | 73.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 57.49% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.42% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 20.07% |
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