SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sochi | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
56.63% ( 0.19) | 22.13% ( -0.05) | 21.23% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( 0.06) | 42.32% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% ( 0.06) | 64.72% ( -0.06) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.24% ( 0.08) | 14.76% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57% ( 0.15) | 43% ( -0.15) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( -0.09) | 33.73% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.61% ( -0.1) | 70.39% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sochi | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 56.63% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 21.23% |
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