SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 51.38%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Chicago Fire |
51.38% ( 0.98) | 22.48% ( -0.28) | 26.14% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 61.4% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.72) | 38.59% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( 0.76) | 60.89% ( -0.76) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.8% ( 0.6) | 15.2% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.16% ( 1.12) | 43.83% ( -1.12) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -0.13) | 27.59% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.88% ( -0.17) | 63.12% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.96% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 26.14% |
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