There are little to no signs of improvement in Toronto as they look out of sorts and, at times, unmotivated when in possession.
Meanwhile, the Fire have tightened up defensively and given that only three points currently separate them in ninth from New York City FC in 13th, they will know that the time is now to try to put some distance between themselves and the clubs chasing them.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 19.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chicago Fire in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chicago Fire.
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