SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Platense had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.96%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Platense |
45.05% ( 0.04) | 30.32% ( 0.02) | 24.63% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.8% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.48% ( -0.07) | 68.52% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.73% ( -0.05) | 86.28% ( 0.05) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.25% ( -0.02) | 30.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.99% ( -0.02) | 67.01% ( 0.02) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.58% ( -0.1) | 45.43% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.73% ( -0.08) | 81.27% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Platense |
| 1-0 @ 16.47% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.05% | 0-0 @ 13.96% ( 0.04) 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.31% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 24.63% |
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