Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.