SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Crusaders |
53.93% ( 1.13) | 24.57% ( -0.2) | 21.5% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.72% ( -0.16) | 52.28% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.02% ( -0.14) | 73.98% ( 0.14) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% ( 0.38) | 19.32% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.91% ( 0.63) | 51.09% ( -0.63) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% ( -1.01) | 39.11% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( -0.96) | 75.82% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 12.42% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.31)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.93% Total : 53.93% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.5% |
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