SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
28.54% ( -0.05) | 26.7% ( -0.04) | 44.75% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.49% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.9% ( 0.11) | 55.1% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.65% ( 0.09) | 76.35% ( -0.09) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( 0.02) | 34.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( 0.02) | 71.15% ( -0.02) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( 0.09) | 24.51% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( 0.13) | 58.97% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.74% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.54% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.75% |
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