Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
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