SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Basel |
31.79% ( -0.06) | 24.06% ( 0.06) | 44.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.58% ( -0.33) | 42.41% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( -0.33) | 64.81% ( 0.33) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.26% ( -0.2) | 25.73% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.33% ( -0.27) | 60.66% ( 0.27) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( -0.14) | 19.42% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.74% ( -0.22) | 51.25% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 31.79% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 44.14% |
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