Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.13) 
-0.18) 
