Le Havre come into this game having won just one of their last 12 games across all competitions, and with Metz winning three of their last six, the visitors come into this one in much better form.
While the visitors have failed to beat the hosts since 2014, we believe that their recent performances and results leave them as the favourites to win this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Metz had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Metz would win this match.
0.33) 
-0.36) 
