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National League North | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium
AT

Leamington
2 - 2
Alfreton

Ward (59'), Lynn (85')
Meredith (25')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moyo (50'), Abbey (90+5')
Cantrill (33')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leamington 3-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Leamington FCDrawAlfreton Town
38.76% (-2.809 -2.81) 27.43% (-0.07 -0.07) 33.8% (2.878 2.88)
Both teams to score 49.32% (1.015 1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (0.905 0.91)56.26% (-0.906 -0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (0.726 0.73)77.3% (-0.72699999999999 -0.73)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.78% (-1.136 -1.14)28.22% (1.136 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-1.459 -1.46)63.93% (1.459 1.46)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (2.463 2.46)31.28% (-2.463 -2.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (2.766 2.77)67.63% (-2.767 -2.77)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 38.76%
    Alfreton Town 33.8%
    Draw 27.42%
Leamington FCDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.77 -0.77)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-0 @ 7.06% (-0.732 -0.73)
3-1 @ 3.46% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.415 -0.42)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 0.94% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 10.26% (0.33 0.33)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.497 0.5)
0-2 @ 5.96% (0.568 0.57)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.371 0.37)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.357 0.36)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.182 0.18)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.8%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 3-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 2-1 Leamington
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Southport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 5-1 Leamington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 1-2 Chorley
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 3-0 Leamington
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Mansfield
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Alfreton 0-3 Rotherham
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Alfreton 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, July 16 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Alfreton 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, July 6 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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