Only Getafe (six) have drawn more La Liga matches than Leganes this season, and it would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Sunday afternoon. However, we just have a feeling that Celta will be able to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.

Result
Leganes	Draw	Celta Vigo
41.74% ( 0.51)	27.9% ( 0.17)	30.36% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 46.96% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.24% (

-0.81)

58.76% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.71% (

-0.63)

79.28% (

0.63)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.1)

27.75% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

-0.13)

63.32% (

0.13)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65% (

-0.93)

35% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.26% (

-0.99)

71.74% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Leganes 41.73%

Celta Vigo 30.36%

Draw 27.9%

Leganes	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.73%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.36%