SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 55.2%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Liverpool |
23.07% ( -0.4) | 21.73% ( -0.17) | 55.2% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% ( 0.37) | 38.19% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.53% ( 0.4) | 60.46% ( -0.4) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.12) | 29.78% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( -0.15) | 65.85% ( 0.15) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.18% ( 0.31) | 13.82% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.83% ( 0.6) | 41.17% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.07% Total : 23.07% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 5.32% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.19% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.52% Total : 55.2% |
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