SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | West Ham United |
46.78% ( -0.09) | 23.19% ( 0.12) | 30.02% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.98% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.82% ( -0.59) | 39.17% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.49% ( -0.62) | 61.5% ( 0.62) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -0.26) | 17.07% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% ( -0.46) | 47.25% ( 0.46) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% ( -0.31) | 25.25% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.99% ( -0.43) | 60% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | West Ham United |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.14% Total : 46.78% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.02% |
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