SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
29.18% ( -0.5) | 22.62% ( 0.13) | 48.2% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.95) | 36.91% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.91% ( -1.04) | 59.09% ( 1.04) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( -0.79) | 24.65% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% ( -1.12) | 59.17% ( 1.13) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.22) | 15.69% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.25% ( -0.41) | 44.75% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.18% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 48.2% |
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