SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
32.43% ( -0.7) | 24.46% ( -0.02) | 43.12% ( 0.72) |
| Both teams to score 58.71% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.99% ( -0.15) | 44.01% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.61% ( -0.14) | 66.39% ( 0.14) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0.49) | 26.13% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.81% ( -0.67) | 61.19% ( 0.67) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( 0.27) | 20.53% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.96% ( 0.42) | 53.04% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.43% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 43.12% |
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