SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
55.99% ( -0.73) | 23.48% ( 0.21) | 20.53% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.95% ( -0.2) | 49.05% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.87% ( -0.18) | 71.13% ( 0.18) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( -0.33) | 17.34% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( -0.59) | 47.73% ( 0.59) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.74% ( 0.43) | 38.26% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.98% ( 0.41) | 75.02% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.53% |
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