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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
L

Rennes
1 - 3
Lille

Gouiri (1')
Genesio (60'), Ugochukwu (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zhegrova (59'), Cabella (85'), Gomes (90+4')
Gomes (20'), Weah (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Clermont
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 1-2 Lille

With both sides going head to head for a place on the shores of the continent next season, we predict Lille will continue their recent bragging rights by closing the gap to two points before the final whistle on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Lille had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawLille
42.88% (3.968 3.97) 25.21% (-0.367 -0.37) 31.91% (-3.599 -3.6)
Both teams to score 55.89% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (0.801 0.8)47.6% (-0.8 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (0.735 0.73)69.8% (-0.73400000000001 -0.73)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (2.335 2.34)22.16% (-2.334 -2.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (3.398 3.4)55.55% (-3.396 -3.4)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-1.827 -1.83)28.21% (1.829 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-2.371 -2.37)63.9% (2.372 2.37)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 42.88%
    Lille 31.91%
    Draw 25.21%
RennesDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.462 0.46)
2-0 @ 7.1% (0.703 0.7)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.516 0.52)
3-0 @ 3.57% (0.567 0.57)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.294 0.29)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.288 0.29)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 42.88%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.211 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 7.91% (-0.699 -0.7)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.527 -0.53)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.731 -0.73)
1-3 @ 3.18% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.436 -0.44)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rennes 3-0 Strasbourg
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 2-1 Rennes
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 1-0 Rennes
Friday, January 20 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rennes 1-0 PSG
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 2-1 Rennes
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Nice
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Clermont
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Lille
Sunday, January 29 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Pau
Sunday, January 22 at 5.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lille 5-1 Troyes
Sunday, January 15 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-0 Lille
Wednesday, January 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Reims
Monday, January 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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