SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 55.76%. A win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest FK Haugesund win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lillestrom would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | FK Haugesund |
55.76% ( 0.05) | 22.01% ( -0.01) | 22.23% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.46% ( -0) | 40.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.08% | 62.92% ( -0.01) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.56% ( 0.02) | 14.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.62% ( 0.03) | 42.38% ( -0.04) |
| FK Haugesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.04) | 31.81% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( -0.05) | 68.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | FK Haugesund |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.76% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 22.23% |
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