SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
50.39% ( 0.97) | 23.93% ( -0.19) | 25.68% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 55.92% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.37% ( 0.21) | 45.62% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.05% ( 0.2) | 67.95% ( -0.2) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( 0.46) | 18.15% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.87% ( 0.78) | 49.13% ( -0.78) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( -0.5) | 31.67% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( -0.58) | 68.09% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.5% Total : 50.39% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.93% | 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.72% Total : 25.68% |
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