SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 12.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.71%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Hungary |
12.24% ( -0.11) | 20.63% ( -0.37) | 67.12% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 42.15% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( 1.17) | 51.55% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% ( 1.01) | 73.34% ( -1.01) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.29% ( 0.54) | 50.71% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.85% ( 0.37) | 85.14% ( -0.37) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.52% ( 0.53) | 14.47% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.55% ( 1.01) | 42.45% ( -1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lithuania | Draw | Hungary |
| 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.29% Total : 12.24% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.64% | 0-1 @ 14.18% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 13.71% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 8.83% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.9% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.08)1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 67.12% |
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